Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 160.024530 183.373931 209.481265 240.933762 277.927052 320.210477 372.420944
2025-11-09 128.467441 158.829059 195.881493 244.810306 308.291276 388.642420 499.280071
2025-11-16 108.782894 141.727310 184.459734 244.696386 328.620947 443.205789 614.627751
2025-11-23 94.950016 128.926387 175.186642 243.926087 345.462104 493.134039 730.217931
2025-11-30 85.443883 120.191438 169.516572 246.255677 365.612864 549.314892 863.857286
2025-12-07 74.967889 108.534810 157.839995 237.522425 366.933915 575.910354 954.137366
2025-12-14 67.835261 100.847707 150.896540 234.708297 376.497777 616.208023 1074.001241
2025-12-21 63.152114 96.286577 148.063555 237.796959 395.767043 675.180714 1238.219748
2025-12-28 60.566295 94.673571 149.593110 248.095964 428.611856 762.979445 1475.238937
2026-01-04 57.434447 91.803624 148.657829 253.854894 453.860025 840.483851 1708.106272
2026-01-11 53.350587 86.924489 143.768783 251.828098 463.994708 889.893518 1891.266621
2026-01-18 51.214312 85.143200 144.016737 259.199076 493.297150 982.817383 2194.148972
2026-01-25 48.174736 81.836693 141.808836 262.851686 518.315683 1077.146919 2541.375923
2026-02-01 45.427147 78.828686 139.912290 267.090560 545.895253 1184.431901 2959.338421
2026-02-08 42.445863 75.071748 136.154754 266.962558 563.849392 1273.232159 3357.263176
2026-02-15 39.711169 71.495990 132.329319 266.111217 579.944362 1360.997222 3782.733416
2026-02-22 37.623330 68.949376 130.240273 268.685721 604.534872 1476.033231 4334.038088
2026-03-01 34.530275 64.149817 123.094936 259.036198 597.566155 1505.430709 4618.994559
2026-03-08 32.359198 60.998677 119.040536 255.927928 606.639393 1581.652277 5095.259894
2026-03-15 30.961488 59.288917 117.841220 259.339457 633.341366 1715.375534 5837.308174
2026-03-22 30.322792 59.082867 119.842122 270.719739 683.732957 1933.945236 7011.325219
2026-03-29 29.317618 58.010988 119.819420 277.086372 721.429738 2123.179916 8163.780938
2026-04-05 27.758141 55.616970 116.586188 274.845454 733.821971 2232.380621 9021.599342